← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Arizona State University0.66+6.63vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.40+2.44vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.83vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.08vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego0.95+1.23vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.50+1.74vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.01vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.35+0.45vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.11vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley0.74-3.12vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara0.35-2.72vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-0.36-0.50vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.54vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+0.16vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine-1.42-1.57vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-0.88-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.63Arizona State University0.665.8%1st Place
-
4.44University of Southern California1.4015.3%1st Place
-
3.83California Poly Maritime Academy1.9219.3%1st Place
-
5.08University of California at Los Angeles1.3012.8%1st Place
-
6.23University of California at San Diego0.959.5%1st Place
-
7.74Northeastern University0.506.0%1st Place
-
8.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.515.1%1st Place
-
8.45University of California at Berkeley0.353.8%1st Place
-
7.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.5%1st Place
-
6.88University of California at Berkeley0.746.9%1st Place
-
8.28University of California at Santa Barbara0.354.0%1st Place
-
11.5University of California at Irvine-0.361.5%1st Place
-
10.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.5%1st Place
-
14.16University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.4%1st Place
-
13.43University of California at Irvine-1.420.2%1st Place
-
11.99University of California at Irvine-0.881.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Grimsley | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Luke Harris | 15.3% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 19.3% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Max Case | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Rory Collins | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Florence Duff | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 20.4% | 45.2% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 24.8% | 28.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.