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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.15+0.96vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.43+0.83vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.94+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Florida0.34+1.00vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.72-0.57vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.05-2.13vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.14-6.71vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-0.15-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96University of South Florida3.150.5%1st Place
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2.83Eckerd College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.01University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Florida0.340.0%1st Place
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5.43Eckerd College0.720.0%1st Place
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4.87Eckerd College1.050.1%1st Place
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3.29Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
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6.61Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 45.4% | 28.4% | 15.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 20.1% | 26.4% | 24.2% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Calnan | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 9.0% |
| Rheanna King | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 23.5% | 25.6% |
| Brian Story | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 14.5% |
| Evann Martin | 5.6% | 6.6% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 8.2% |
| Seth Barrows | 16.3% | 18.8% | 22.6% | 18.7% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| David Horton | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 23.3% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.