← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley0.35+7.38vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara0.35+6.36vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.69vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.95vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University0.66+2.62vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.50+1.96vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California1.40-2.46vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+0.08vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.39vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.95-3.65vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.74-4.15vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-0.88-0.07vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.24vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.59vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.70vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-1.42-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.38University of California at Berkeley0.354.5%1st Place
-
8.36University of California at Santa Barbara0.354.1%1st Place
-
3.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.9220.4%1st Place
-
4.95University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.0%1st Place
-
7.62Arizona State University0.665.4%1st Place
-
7.96Northeastern University0.504.4%1st Place
-
4.54University of Southern California1.4015.5%1st Place
-
8.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.515.3%1st Place
-
10.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.3%1st Place
-
6.35University of California at San Diego0.958.1%1st Place
-
6.85University of California at Berkeley0.748.0%1st Place
-
11.93University of California at Irvine-0.881.3%1st Place
-
7.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.1%1st Place
-
11.41University of California at Irvine-0.361.7%1st Place
-
14.3University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.4%1st Place
-
13.44University of California at Irvine-1.420.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Cremers | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Rory Collins | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 20.4% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Luke Harris | 15.5% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Florence Duff | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 10.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 7.1% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 21.9% | 46.6% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 24.6% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.