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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.8%
Within 2 Positions
6.6
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+9.31vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.36+6.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles2.21+11.12vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon1.84+10.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.99+9.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+3.62vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.87+2.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.01+10.13vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley2.60+1.94vs Predicted
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11University of Washington2.81+0.01vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-1.33vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University0.76+7.36vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.65vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.08-5.35vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis2.13-1.66vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.50-9.52vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego0.43+3.01vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine2.83-8.51vs Predicted
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20University of Southern California3.58-13.01vs Predicted
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22Santa Clara University2.74-10.76vs Predicted
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23University of Southern California2.57-10.83vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay2.30-10.60vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles1.72-8.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.31University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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14.12University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
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6.43California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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15.74University of Oregon1.840.0%1st Place
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15.15University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.0%1st Place
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10.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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19.13University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Washington2.810.1%1st Place
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10.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.0%1st Place
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20.36Oregon State University0.760.0%1st Place
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12.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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9.65Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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14.34University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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7.48Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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21.01University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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10.49University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Southern California3.580.1%1st Place
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11.24Santa Clara University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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13.4California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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16.5University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hester | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Anders | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Sean Kelly | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Craig Emmes | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Cowley | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Amery | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 17.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Darrin | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Soper | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aike Burger | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 24.3% | 25.9% |
| Keely Scates | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Nick Dugdale | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 19.2% | 42.2% |
| Jack Porter | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Vetter | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Harrison | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Schoch | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Carmen Bozina | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.