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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.83+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.98+4.45vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.54+4.24vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.81-0.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.58+1.78vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.83+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.64-0.28vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.33-3.17vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.11-0.01vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.55-3.13vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.29-1.84vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-0.82vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.36-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of Washington1.8324.4%1st Place
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6.45University of California at Berkeley0.985.5%1st Place
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7.24Western Washington University0.545.0%1st Place
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3.61Western Washington University1.8120.8%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Berkeley0.585.6%1st Place
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6.26Western Washington University0.836.6%1st Place
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6.72University of Washington0.646.2%1st Place
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4.83Western Washington University1.3311.8%1st Place
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8.99University of Oregon0.112.9%1st Place
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6.87University of Washington0.555.7%1st Place
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9.16University of Washington-0.292.1%1st Place
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11.18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.4%1st Place
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9.44University of Washington-0.362.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 24.4% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Leif Hauge | 20.8% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Turloff | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Adam Turloff | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Avey | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 10.6% |
| matthew Huskins | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 12.9% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 51.2% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.