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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+9.35vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.40+2.42vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.35+4.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.09vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.16vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.50+0.86vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.66-0.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.74-2.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.35-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.09vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.88+0.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.95-6.67vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+0.07vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.51vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.42-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.9%1st Place
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4.42University of Southern California1.4016.1%1st Place
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3.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.9220.2%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Santa Barbara0.354.4%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.6%1st Place
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8.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.7%1st Place
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7.86Northeastern University0.504.5%1st Place
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7.69Arizona State University0.665.8%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Berkeley0.746.6%1st Place
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8.49University of California at Berkeley0.354.9%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.3%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Irvine-0.881.2%1st Place
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6.33University of California at San Diego0.958.0%1st Place
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14.07University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.3%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Irvine-0.361.7%1st Place
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13.42University of California at Irvine-1.420.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florence Duff | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 3.8% |
| Luke Harris | 16.1% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 20.2% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Collins | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Marianna Shand | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Olsen | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 12.5% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 21.1% | 44.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 25.1% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.