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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+4.01vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+3.66vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.71-1.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.43+0.99vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.19+2.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.33+1.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+2.37vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+1.61vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.51-0.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+2.16vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.80-3.13vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.21-2.08vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.55-2.80vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.09-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.7611.6%1st Place
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5.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3510.7%1st Place
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5.43California Poly Maritime Academy0.5310.3%1st Place
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2.81University of Southern California1.7129.6%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Irvine0.438.1%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Santa Cruz-0.193.5%1st Place
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8.14University of California at Berkeley-0.334.1%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Los Angeles-0.962.9%1st Place
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10.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.4%1st Place
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9.82University of California at San Diego-0.512.9%1st Place
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13.16University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.8%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Santa Barbara-0.493.5%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Irvine-0.801.9%1st Place
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11.92Arizona State University-1.211.4%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Irvine-1.551.3%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Berkeley-0.095.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ring | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 29.6% | 24.1% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Meyers | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Fiona Wu | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 34.7% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Emma Feasey | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| William Bailly | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 18.1% |
| Mason Read | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 20.8% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.