← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida3.15+0.94vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.14+1.24vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.43-0.19vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida0.94+1.09vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College0.72+0.44vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.05-1.14vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida0.34-1.98vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University-0.15-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.94University of South Florida3.150.5%1st Place
-
3.24Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
-
2.81Eckerd College2.430.2%1st Place
-
5.09University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
-
5.44Eckerd College0.720.0%1st Place
-
4.86Eckerd College1.050.1%1st Place
-
6.02University of Florida0.340.0%1st Place
-
6.6Jacksonville University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 46.3% | 28.1% | 15.0% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 14.9% | 20.6% | 23.4% | 19.3% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Walker Banks | 20.5% | 26.3% | 24.9% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kimberly Calnan | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 9.5% |
| Brian Story | 3.9% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 13.7% |
| Evann Martin | 5.5% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 7.7% |
| Rheanna King | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 23.4% | 26.3% |
| David Horton | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 22.4% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.