← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+4.27vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+3.82vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+1.97vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+6.56vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-0.51+4.92vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine0.43-0.08vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.19+1.29vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley-0.09-0.15vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine-0.80+0.96vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-1.21+1.88vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.59vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49-3.14vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-0.33-4.86vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.85vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine-1.55-2.76vs Predicted
-
16University of Southern California1.71-13.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.27California Poly Maritime Academy0.5311.0%1st Place
-
5.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.358.1%1st Place
-
4.97University of California at Santa Cruz0.7613.1%1st Place
-
10.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.7%1st Place
-
9.92University of California at San Diego-0.512.1%1st Place
-
5.92University of California at Irvine0.437.5%1st Place
-
8.29University of California at Santa Cruz-0.194.1%1st Place
-
7.85University of California at Berkeley-0.094.7%1st Place
-
9.96University of California at Irvine-0.802.9%1st Place
-
11.88Arizona State University-1.211.1%1st Place
-
10.41University of California at Los Angeles-0.962.1%1st Place
-
8.86University of California at Santa Barbara-0.493.1%1st Place
-
8.14University of California at Berkeley-0.333.8%1st Place
-
13.15University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.8%1st Place
-
12.24University of California at Irvine-1.550.9%1st Place
-
2.76University of Southern California1.7133.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Jennings | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 6.9% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Adam Leddy | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Meyers | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| William Bailly | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 16.4% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Fiona Wu | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 36.0% |
| Mason Read | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 20.6% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 33.1% | 22.8% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.