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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.89+0.71vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.38+0.16vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College-0.36+1.71vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.85-1.36vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-1.07-1.39vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-1.64-1.69vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-1.66-2.61vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.82-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Eckerd College2.890.5%1st Place
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2.16University of South Florida2.380.3%1st Place
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4.71Eckerd College-0.360.0%1st Place
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2.64Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
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5.61Eckerd College-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.31University of South Florida-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.39Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 51.0% | 31.0% | 15.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manaf Alwaheeb | 27.7% | 37.5% | 27.3% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ann Williamson | 2.1% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 33.5% | 28.2% | 16.5% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 16.6% | 24.1% | 42.6% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Dowdy | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 17.3% | 24.8% | 23.5% | 18.9% | 10.3% |
| Morgan Barrios | 0.6% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 24.3% | 27.3% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 24.8% | 29.3% |
| Peter Usher | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 21.5% | 24.9% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.