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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.39vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.66+1.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.69+0.80vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.84+5.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.40+3.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.86+4.08vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+2.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.99-0.56vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.63+0.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.10-2.35vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-2.21+0.11vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.40vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.90-3.00vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.72-4.56vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51-9.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.4536.4%1st Place
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3.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.6614.4%1st Place
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3.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.6915.8%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.2411.3%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Davis-1.841.4%1st Place
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9.62University of California at Davis-1.401.6%1st Place
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11.08University of California at Los Angeles-1.861.1%1st Place
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10.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.8%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Berkeley-0.992.5%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Los Angeles-1.631.3%1st Place
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8.65University of California at San Diego-1.102.7%1st Place
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12.11University of California at San Diego-2.210.9%1st Place
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11.6University of California at San Diego-2.050.7%1st Place
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11.0Arizona State University-1.901.1%1st Place
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10.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.722.1%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Santa Barbara-0.514.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Henderson | 36.4% | 26.7% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 14.4% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 15.8% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Baer | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% |
| Blossom Jee | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Araoz | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% |
| Laurence Mach | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 22.4% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.7% |
| Elizabeth Ratterree | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| Dylan Tran | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.