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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+2.66vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.33+2.74vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+0.48vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.54+3.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.58+1.83vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.83+0.24vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.29+1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.64-2.38vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.11-1.11vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.55-4.06vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-0.84vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.36-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Western Washington University1.8119.7%1st Place
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4.74Western Washington University1.3312.7%1st Place
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3.48University of Washington1.8322.4%1st Place
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7.25Western Washington University0.545.7%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Berkeley0.586.4%1st Place
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6.24Western Washington University0.836.7%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Berkeley0.986.2%1st Place
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9.13University of Washington-0.292.8%1st Place
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6.62University of Washington0.645.5%1st Place
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8.89University of Oregon0.112.7%1st Place
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6.94University of Washington0.555.6%1st Place
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11.16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Washington-0.362.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 19.7% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 22.4% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Turloff | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 13.2% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Emily Avey | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 10.7% |
| matthew Huskins | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 49.8% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.