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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.47vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+8.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+3.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.69-0.18vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.66-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.05+5.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.99+1.50vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.90+3.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.21+3.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-5.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.63-0.67vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.10-3.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.40-3.36vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.72-3.41vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.86-3.98vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.84-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.4535.5%1st Place
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10.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.6%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Santa Barbara-0.515.2%1st Place
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3.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.6917.0%1st Place
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3.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.6616.1%1st Place
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11.44University of California at San Diego-2.050.9%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Berkeley-0.992.7%1st Place
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11.14Arizona State University-1.901.1%1st Place
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12.1University of California at San Diego-2.210.7%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.249.7%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.631.6%1st Place
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8.63University of California at San Diego-1.102.5%1st Place
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9.64University of California at Davis-1.401.8%1st Place
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10.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.721.4%1st Place
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11.02University of California at Los Angeles-1.861.3%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Davis-1.841.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Henderson | 35.5% | 24.4% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 17.0% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 16.1% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.7% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Ratterree | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 22.1% |
| Hunter Holguin | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Araoz | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Laurence Mach | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Blossom Jee | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Dylan Tran | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% |
| Nathan Baer | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.