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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.89+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.89+1.22vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.85-0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Florida-1.82+1.58vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-1.07-1.36vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.36-3.35vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.96-3.50vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-2.00-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Eckerd College2.890.6%1st Place
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3.22University of South Florida0.890.1%1st Place
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2.26Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
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6.58University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
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5.64Eckerd College-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.65Eckerd College-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.5University of South Florida-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.7Jacksonville University-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 64.3% | 26.8% | 7.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hager | 8.3% | 16.9% | 37.9% | 22.9% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 21.8% | 43.3% | 24.5% | 8.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Usher | 0.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 26.1% | 34.9% |
| Caleb Dowdy | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 13.0% | 20.9% | 26.2% | 18.6% | 12.1% |
| Ann Williamson | 2.6% | 5.2% | 12.4% | 27.0% | 25.2% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 2.9% |
| Michelle Graham | 1.5% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 22.0% | 20.7% | 9.8% |
| Jenna Spangler | 0.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 24.4% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.