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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.89+2.19vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.89-0.52vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.85-0.75vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida-0.96+1.56vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.36-1.25vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-1.07-2.32vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-1.82-2.33vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.66-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of South Florida0.890.1%1st Place
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1.48Eckerd College2.890.6%1st Place
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2.25Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
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5.56University of South Florida-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.75Eckerd College-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.68Eckerd College-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.42Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hager | 8.1% | 19.0% | 37.7% | 21.1% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tony Collins | 63.8% | 26.6% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 22.3% | 42.5% | 25.3% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Graham | 0.7% | 2.5% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 22.4% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 11.6% |
| Ann Williamson | 2.8% | 4.1% | 11.1% | 26.4% | 24.2% | 18.6% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
| Caleb Dowdy | 0.9% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 23.7% | 18.8% | 14.7% |
| Peter Usher | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 23.5% | 41.7% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.5% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 26.6% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.