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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.89+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.89+1.24vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.85-0.74vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.36+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-1.82-0.32vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.66-1.55vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-1.07-4.29vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.96-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Eckerd College2.890.6%1st Place
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3.24University of South Florida0.890.1%1st Place
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2.26Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
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4.76Eckerd College-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.45Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
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5.71Eckerd College-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.44University of South Florida-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 64.4% | 26.8% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hager | 8.5% | 16.4% | 37.6% | 22.5% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 22.0% | 42.3% | 25.2% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ann Williamson | 2.0% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 24.9% | 25.2% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 3.7% |
| Peter Usher | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 25.9% | 39.7% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.6% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 23.4% | 33.4% |
| Caleb Dowdy | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 23.5% | 21.3% | 14.3% |
| Michelle Graham | 0.7% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 16.3% | 21.5% | 23.2% | 18.8% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.