← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.89+0.45vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College-1.07+3.63vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College1.85-0.70vs Predicted
-
4University of Florida-1.82+2.56vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida-0.96-0.52vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida0.89-3.83vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University-2.00-1.22vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College-0.36-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.45Eckerd College2.890.6%1st Place
-
5.63Eckerd College-1.070.0%1st Place
-
2.3Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
-
6.56University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
-
5.48University of South Florida-0.960.0%1st Place
-
3.17University of South Florida0.890.1%1st Place
-
6.78Jacksonville University-2.000.0%1st Place
-
4.63Eckerd College-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 64.9% | 27.0% | 6.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Dowdy | 1.1% | 2.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 21.4% | 25.6% | 20.6% | 11.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 21.2% | 42.2% | 25.2% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Usher | 0.2% | 0.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 26.0% | 34.2% |
| Michelle Graham | 1.1% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 23.8% | 19.5% | 8.5% |
| Daniel Hager | 9.0% | 18.2% | 36.5% | 23.7% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Jenna Spangler | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 24.8% | 43.5% |
| Ann Williamson | 1.8% | 5.8% | 12.6% | 28.6% | 23.7% | 16.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.