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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.89+0.47vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.89+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida-0.96+1.52vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.85-2.71vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.36-1.28vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-1.07-2.30vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-1.82-2.32vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-1.66-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Eckerd College2.890.6%1st Place
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3.23University of South Florida0.890.1%1st Place
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5.52University of South Florida-0.960.0%1st Place
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2.29Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
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4.72Eckerd College-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.7Eckerd College-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.39Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 62.9% | 28.8% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hager | 8.6% | 16.5% | 36.8% | 24.3% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Graham | 1.6% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 14.3% | 21.2% | 21.6% | 19.7% | 11.5% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 21.6% | 41.7% | 25.4% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ann Williamson | 2.4% | 5.2% | 11.6% | 25.6% | 24.3% | 18.3% | 10.0% | 2.6% |
| Caleb Dowdy | 1.3% | 2.1% | 6.2% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 23.1% | 20.7% | 14.1% |
| Peter Usher | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 23.1% | 42.1% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 25.7% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.