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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.89+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.89+1.24vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.85-1.74vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.96+0.49vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-2.00-0.22vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.36-3.36vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-1.07-3.34vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.82-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Eckerd College2.890.6%1st Place
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3.24University of South Florida0.890.1%1st Place
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2.26Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
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5.49University of South Florida-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.78Jacksonville University-2.000.0%1st Place
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4.64Eckerd College-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.66Eckerd College-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 64.3% | 26.6% | 8.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hager | 8.4% | 16.6% | 37.4% | 22.7% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 21.6% | 43.5% | 24.4% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Graham | 1.0% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 22.9% | 22.9% | 17.8% | 10.6% |
| Jenna Spangler | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 23.7% | 43.6% |
| Ann Williamson | 2.6% | 5.2% | 12.4% | 27.3% | 25.2% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Caleb Dowdy | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 24.8% | 21.6% | 11.9% |
| Peter Usher | 0.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 28.2% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.