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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.89+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.89+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-1.64+3.25vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.85-2.74vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.36-1.41vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-1.07-2.46vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-1.82-2.49vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.66-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Eckerd College2.890.6%1st Place
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3.17University of South Florida0.890.1%1st Place
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6.25University of South Florida-1.640.0%1st Place
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2.26Eckerd College1.850.2%1st Place
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4.59Eckerd College-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.54Eckerd College-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.22Jacksonville University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 63.6% | 28.3% | 6.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hager | 8.7% | 16.8% | 39.0% | 23.3% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Barrios | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 26.5% | 26.1% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 21.6% | 42.6% | 25.9% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ann Williamson | 2.4% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 28.6% | 25.3% | 16.4% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Caleb Dowdy | 1.3% | 2.2% | 6.4% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 23.7% | 18.5% | 11.2% |
| Peter Usher | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 23.7% | 35.2% |
| Kyle Kavanagh | 0.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 23.6% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.