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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.45+0.45vs Predicted
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2Williams College-1.12+0.79vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.51+0.26vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-1.49-0.84vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-2.77-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Brown University0.4566.4%1st Place
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2.79Williams College-1.1212.8%1st Place
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3.26McGill University-1.518.9%1st Place
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3.16Unknown School-1.499.4%1st Place
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4.34Middlebury College-2.772.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Brighton | 66.4% | 24.2% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 12.8% | 30.3% | 29.0% | 20.9% | 6.9% |
| Alex Anderson | 8.9% | 18.6% | 26.1% | 30.6% | 15.7% |
| Whitney Koif | 9.4% | 20.3% | 27.5% | 29.9% | 12.8% |
| Aric Duncan | 2.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.