← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Davis1.68+3.51vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.90+0.50vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley1.86+1.30vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.19+3.47vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.48-1.92vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz1.87-1.81vs Predicted
-
8Santa Clara University1.04-2.14vs Predicted
-
9California State University Monterey Bay0.19-1.58vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-0.08-2.07vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay0.02-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.51University of California at Davis1.680.1%1st Place
-
2.5Stanford University2.900.3%1st Place
-
4.3University of California at Berkeley1.860.1%1st Place
-
7.47University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
-
3.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.480.2%1st Place
-
4.19University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.1%1st Place
-
5.86Santa Clara University1.040.0%1st Place
-
7.42California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
-
7.93University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
-
7.74California State University Monterey Bay0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Lee | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 33.9% | 24.1% | 18.7% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Sundberg | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kenton Stutz | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 21.1% | 19.4% |
| Francesca Delle Cese | 20.4% | 25.4% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mickail Murawski | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Wyman | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 19.3% |
| Anthony Crans | 2.2% | 0.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 22.7% | 29.4% |
| Trevor Fournier | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.