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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.55+4.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.58+3.87vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+2.50vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.83-1.51vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.83+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.64-0.27vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.33-3.07vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.54-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+1.36vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.11-2.05vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.36-2.57vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.29-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Western Washington University1.8120.6%1st Place
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6.65University of Washington0.556.5%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Berkeley0.585.8%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Berkeley0.986.4%1st Place
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3.49University of Washington1.8322.5%1st Place
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6.32Western Washington University0.836.3%1st Place
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6.73University of Washington0.645.1%1st Place
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4.93Western Washington University1.3312.1%1st Place
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7.15Western Washington University0.545.6%1st Place
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11.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.9%1st Place
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8.95University of Oregon0.112.8%1st Place
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9.43University of Washington-0.361.9%1st Place
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9.04University of Washington-0.293.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 20.6% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| matthew Huskins | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Michael McCulloch | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 22.5% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Turloff | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Adam Turloff | 12.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 53.5% |
| Emily Avey | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 10.8% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 14.4% |
| Stephanie Seto | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.