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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.69+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+2.58vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.66+0.64vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-1.64vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+1.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.05+4.28vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.21+3.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.99-0.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.86+0.91vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-1.01vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.72-1.57vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.90-1.73vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.63-3.72vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.10-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of California at Santa Cruz0.6917.4%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.2410.0%1st Place
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3.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.6616.0%1st Place
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2.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.4537.3%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Santa Barbara-0.515.3%1st Place
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10.28University of California at San Diego-2.050.8%1st Place
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10.77University of California at San Diego-2.210.9%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Berkeley-0.992.5%1st Place
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9.91University of California at Los Angeles-1.860.9%1st Place
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8.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.572.1%1st Place
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9.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.721.8%1st Place
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10.27Arizona State University-1.900.9%1st Place
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9.28University of California at Los Angeles-1.631.6%1st Place
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7.88University of California at San Diego-1.102.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Baker-Berry | 17.4% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 16.0% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 37.3% | 24.8% | 17.9% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 17.0% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 24.4% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 13.8% |
| Daniel Gates | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 5.9% |
| Dylan Tran | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% |
| Elizabeth Ratterree | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 16.8% |
| Aidan Araoz | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% |
| Laurence Mach | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.