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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+1.77vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+3.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+1.98vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.51+4.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.33+2.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49+1.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+5.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.43-3.09vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.21+1.94vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-0.38vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.19-3.63vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.80-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-3.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.55-2.80vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.09-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Southern California1.7130.7%1st Place
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5.5California Poly Maritime Academy0.5310.0%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.7613.1%1st Place
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5.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.358.0%1st Place
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9.71University of California at San Diego-0.512.9%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Berkeley-0.334.5%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Santa Barbara-0.493.9%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Los Angeles-1.991.1%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Irvine0.439.3%1st Place
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11.94Arizona State University-1.211.3%1st Place
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10.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.7%1st Place
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8.37University of California at Santa Cruz-0.193.5%1st Place
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9.88University of California at Irvine-0.802.5%1st Place
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10.45University of California at Los Angeles-0.962.1%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Irvine-1.551.4%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Berkeley-0.094.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 30.7% | 24.4% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ring | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 8.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Fiona Wu | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 33.7% |
| Adam Leddy | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Bailly | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Sophia Meyers | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 6.3% |
| Mason Read | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 21.9% |
| Ethan Lisle | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.