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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+4.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+3.03vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+7.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-0.80+6.01vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.21+6.92vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.33+1.16vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.43-1.99vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.19-0.60vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.71-7.25vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+2.16vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-1.58vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.55-0.86vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.09-6.23vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.51-5.27vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.359.2%1st Place
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5.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.7611.9%1st Place
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10.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.2%1st Place
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10.01University of California at Irvine-0.803.1%1st Place
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11.92Arizona State University-1.211.3%1st Place
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5.5California Poly Maritime Academy0.538.7%1st Place
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8.16University of California at Berkeley-0.334.3%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Irvine0.438.4%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.194.0%1st Place
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2.75University of Southern California1.7131.7%1st Place
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13.16University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.9%1st Place
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10.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.962.0%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Irvine-1.550.9%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Berkeley-0.095.3%1st Place
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9.73University of California at San Diego-0.512.7%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Barbara-0.493.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bloomfield | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| William Bailly | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 16.7% |
| Sam Jennings | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Wu | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Adam Leddy | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Meyers | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 31.7% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 35.9% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Mason Read | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 20.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.