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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+1.74vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+3.61vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+7.57vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+1.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.33+3.25vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.19+2.30vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine0.43-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.09-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.51+0.83vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.80-0.01vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-6.04vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-1.42vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.21-1.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49-5.10vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.55-2.85vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of Southern California1.7131.6%1st Place
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5.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.359.0%1st Place
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10.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.7%1st Place
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5.43California Poly Maritime Academy0.5310.2%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Berkeley-0.334.2%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.194.6%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Irvine0.437.6%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Berkeley-0.095.1%1st Place
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9.83University of California at San Diego-0.512.4%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Irvine-0.802.5%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.7612.3%1st Place
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10.58University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.8%1st Place
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11.87Arizona State University-1.211.6%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.493.2%1st Place
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12.15University of California at Irvine-1.551.1%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Los Angeles-1.991.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 31.6% | 25.3% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Fiona Wu | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Meyers | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Adam Leddy | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Andrew Ring | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% |
| William Bailly | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 16.6% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Mason Read | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 19.5% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.