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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+2.34vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19-0.40vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.050.00vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.39-0.02vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Rhode Island0.8810.0%1st Place
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1.6Stanford University2.1959.3%1st Place
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3.0University of Hawaii1.0515.6%1st Place
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3.98University of Washington-1.397.1%1st Place
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5.26Arizona State University-0.393.0%1st Place
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4.63University of California at Berkeley-0.224.2%1st Place
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6.19University of California at San Diego-1.410.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 10.0% | 22.6% | 22.9% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 59.3% | 26.7% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 15.6% | 24.3% | 25.9% | 18.6% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Emily Smith | 7.1% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 24.6% | 21.6% | 13.9% | 3.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 34.8% | 21.3% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.2% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 23.9% | 22.8% | 11.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.