← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+5.06vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+8.52vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.50+4.41vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85+5.80vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.08+3.19vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine2.17+7.19vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii2.92+2.23vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii3.36-0.94vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington2.87+0.11vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California2.57+0.96vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington2.81-1.15vs Predicted
-
13University of Southern California3.58-5.95vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis2.13+0.52vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego0.43+5.97vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-3.46vs Predicted
-
17Santa Clara University2.74-6.03vs Predicted
-
18California State University Monterey Bay2.30-4.80vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Berkeley2.60-7.12vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.20vs Predicted
-
21University of Oregon1.84-5.54vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Santa Cruz1.99-6.91vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Los Angeles2.21-9.20vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Los Angeles1.72-7.84vs Predicted
-
28Oregon State University0.76-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.06California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
-
10.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
-
7.41Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
-
10.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.0%1st Place
-
9.19Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
-
14.19University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
-
10.23University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
-
8.06University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
-
10.11University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
-
11.96University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
-
10.85University of Washington2.810.1%1st Place
-
7.05University of Southern California3.580.1%1st Place
-
14.52University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
-
20.97University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
12.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
-
10.97Santa Clara University2.740.0%1st Place
-
13.2California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
-
11.88University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
-
18.8University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
-
15.46University of Oregon1.840.0%1st Place
-
15.09University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.0%1st Place
-
13.8University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
-
16.16University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
-
20.17Oregon State University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kelly | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nick Dugdale | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Soper | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Darrin | 6.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Vetter | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 39.9% |
| Keely Scates | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Harrison | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Schoch | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Cody Shevitz | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| Craig Emmes | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Cowley | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Mark Anders | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Carmen Bozina | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Aike Burger | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.