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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.98+5.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.58+4.79vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.55+3.93vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.83+2.21vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.81-1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.83-2.51vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.64-0.31vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.33-3.28vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+2.26vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.11-1.10vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.29-1.83vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.36-2.53vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.54-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46University of California at Berkeley0.987.2%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Berkeley0.586.6%1st Place
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6.93University of Washington0.554.8%1st Place
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6.21Western Washington University0.837.2%1st Place
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3.74Western Washington University1.8119.2%1st Place
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3.49University of Washington1.8321.2%1st Place
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6.69University of Washington0.646.3%1st Place
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4.72Western Washington University1.3313.4%1st Place
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11.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.9%1st Place
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8.9University of Oregon0.112.9%1st Place
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9.17University of Washington-0.292.6%1st Place
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9.47University of Washington-0.361.9%1st Place
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7.17Western Washington University0.545.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| matthew Huskins | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Leif Hauge | 19.2% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 21.2% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 50.3% |
| Emily Avey | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 10.6% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 12.8% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 18.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.