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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+1.34vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19-1.41vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.39-1.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.41+0.16vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.39-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Hawaii1.0513.5%1st Place
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3.34University of Rhode Island0.8811.2%1st Place
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1.59Stanford University2.1958.9%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Berkeley-0.225.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Washington-1.396.6%1st Place
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6.16University of California at San Diego-1.411.5%1st Place
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5.27Arizona State University-0.393.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.5% | 25.4% | 25.8% | 19.1% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.2% | 20.4% | 24.1% | 21.4% | 14.7% | 7.2% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 58.9% | 27.4% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 25.2% | 22.4% | 10.8% |
| Emily Smith | 6.6% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 22.0% | 13.8% | 4.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 19.1% | 60.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 32.9% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.