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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.65vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+0.04vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.39-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Stanford University2.1957.3%1st Place
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3.33University of Rhode Island0.8811.9%1st Place
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3.04University of Hawaii1.0515.3%1st Place
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5.25Arizona State University-0.392.6%1st Place
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4.02University of Washington-1.397.4%1st Place
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4.61University of California at Berkeley-0.224.3%1st Place
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6.1University of California at San Diego-1.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 57.3% | 26.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.9% | 20.4% | 23.8% | 21.0% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 15.3% | 23.7% | 24.9% | 20.1% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 30.3% | 23.5% |
| Emily Smith | 7.4% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.3% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 23.8% | 23.1% | 11.3% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 19.3% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.