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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.65vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88+0.36vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.39-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.41+0.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.22-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Stanford University2.1956.0%1st Place
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3.05University of Hawaii1.0514.9%1st Place
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3.36University of Rhode Island0.8811.8%1st Place
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5.26Arizona State University-0.392.8%1st Place
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3.95University of Washington-1.398.2%1st Place
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6.12University of California at San Diego-1.410.9%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Berkeley-0.225.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 56.0% | 28.8% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 14.9% | 24.4% | 23.6% | 20.3% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.8% | 18.7% | 25.1% | 20.2% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 0.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 31.4% | 24.0% |
| Emily Smith | 8.2% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 22.7% | 20.6% | 14.1% | 4.5% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 18.9% | 59.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 24.3% | 23.4% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.