← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California3.16+4.26vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+4.34vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon2.51+4.70vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.95+1.87vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy2.83+1.40vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California2.57+1.31vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.54+4.91vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington0.63+8.47vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine0.90+6.12vs Predicted
-
10California State University Monterey Bay1.69+1.36vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University2.19-1.66vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis0.05+6.52vs Predicted
-
14Santa Clara University2.22-5.05vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley1.57-3.26vs Predicted
-
16Western Washington University0.87-0.51vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles1.50-4.66vs Predicted
-
18Western Washington University1.02-3.25vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-4.65vs Predicted
-
20University of Washington1.00-5.60vs Predicted
-
21University of Puget Sound0.36-3.58vs Predicted
-
22California State University Channel Islands0.08-3.60vs Predicted
-
23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-8.47vs Predicted
-
24University of California at San Diego1.57-11.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.26University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
-
6.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
-
7.7University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
-
5.87University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
-
6.4California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
-
7.31University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
-
11.91University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
-
16.47University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
-
15.12University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
-
11.36California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
-
9.34Stanford University2.190.0%1st Place
-
18.52University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
-
8.95Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
-
11.74University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
-
15.49Western Washington University0.870.0%1st Place
-
12.34University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
-
14.75Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
-
14.35University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
-
14.4University of Washington1.000.0%1st Place
-
17.42University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
-
18.4California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
-
14.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
-
12.03University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Lue | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kew | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Molly Utter | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% |
| Kate Andersen | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Baab | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 17.0% | 25.4% |
| Brandon Wood | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aubrey Toole | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| William Edwards | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Caylin Cordray | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| David Eva | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 14.9% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 22.7% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.