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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.95+4.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+4.32vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.83+3.50vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon2.51+3.58vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California3.16+0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57+1.38vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.19+1.90vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.69+2.51vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University2.22-1.12vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.05+7.49vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.87+3.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.09vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine0.90+1.31vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.50-3.02vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.63+0.56vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.02-2.39vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-3.76vs Predicted
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19University of Puget Sound0.36-1.36vs Predicted
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20University of Washington1.00-5.69vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-6.64vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands0.08-3.63vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego1.57-10.81vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley1.54-11.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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6.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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6.5California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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8.9Stanford University2.190.1%1st Place
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11.51California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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8.88Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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18.49University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
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15.57Western Washington University0.870.0%1st Place
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11.91University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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15.31University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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11.98University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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16.56University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
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14.61Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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14.24University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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17.64University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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14.31University of Washington1.000.0%1st Place
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14.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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18.37California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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12.19University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Hanson | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Baab | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Wood | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 23.2% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Aubrey Toole | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kate Andersen | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% |
| William Edwards | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Molly Utter | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.9% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| David Eva | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 15.8% |
| Caylin Cordray | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Sierra Marangola | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 23.2% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Kew | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.