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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.63vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.39+0.02vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-1.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63Stanford University2.1958.0%1st Place
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3.34University of Rhode Island0.8811.5%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii1.0515.7%1st Place
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4.02University of Washington-1.396.7%1st Place
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5.2Arizona State University-0.393.5%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Berkeley-0.224.0%1st Place
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6.15University of California at San Diego-1.410.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 58.0% | 27.3% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.5% | 19.8% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 15.7% | 25.2% | 25.3% | 19.0% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Emily Smith | 6.7% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 3.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 29.9% | 22.8% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.0% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 24.7% | 24.2% | 10.9% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.