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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.60vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.39+0.06vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Stanford University2.1958.7%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii1.0516.8%1st Place
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3.37University of Rhode Island0.889.7%1st Place
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4.06University of Washington-1.396.8%1st Place
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5.25Arizona State University-0.392.9%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Berkeley-0.224.2%1st Place
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6.13University of California at San Diego-1.411.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 58.7% | 26.9% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 16.8% | 23.5% | 25.6% | 19.2% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 9.7% | 22.2% | 22.4% | 22.6% | 15.2% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Emily Smith | 6.8% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 21.6% | 15.3% | 5.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 20.2% | 31.0% | 22.8% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.2% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 23.0% | 24.1% | 10.9% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 19.4% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.