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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Oregon2.51+5.66vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.95+2.95vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.83+2.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.54+7.06vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California3.16-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-0.85vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.87+7.03vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.57-1.50vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.93+4.89vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.19-1.98vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.63+4.52vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.05+5.41vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.50-1.61vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University2.22-6.35vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.00-1.22vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.02-2.50vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.57-5.93vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-4.76vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-5.99vs Predicted
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21University of Puget Sound0.36-3.66vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-0.33-2.40vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay1.69-11.48vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego1.57-12.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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6.5California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
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12.06University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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5.26University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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15.03Western Washington University0.870.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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14.89University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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9.02Stanford University2.190.0%1st Place
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16.52University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
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18.41University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
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12.39University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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8.65Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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14.78University of Washington1.000.0%1st Place
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14.5Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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12.07University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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14.24University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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14.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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17.34University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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19.6California State University Channel Islands-0.330.0%1st Place
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11.52California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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11.96University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Gordon | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 10.6% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kew | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Stephen Lue | 14.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Mallory Schluter | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Larsen | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Kaitlyn Baab | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Utter | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 7.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 23.5% |
| William Edwards | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Brandon Wood | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Cordray | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| David Eva | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 13.3% |
| Alexa Gaddis | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 35.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.