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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+2.07vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19-0.38vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.39+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.88-0.68vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07University of Hawaii1.0513.9%1st Place
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1.62Stanford University2.1958.4%1st Place
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3.98University of Washington-1.397.5%1st Place
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3.32University of Rhode Island0.8811.2%1st Place
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5.27Arizona State University-0.392.8%1st Place
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4.64University of California at Berkeley-0.224.7%1st Place
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6.09University of California at San Diego-1.411.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.9% | 25.4% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 58.4% | 26.2% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 7.5% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 22.6% | 14.8% | 4.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.2% | 19.9% | 25.4% | 22.2% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 31.4% | 23.7% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.7% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 23.5% | 23.5% | 11.9% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.