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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+5.25vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.95+4.01vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.83+3.43vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California3.16+1.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.93+9.88vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.19+2.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.50+4.99vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.22+1.01vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.87+6.22vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.57-2.62vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.69+0.61vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon2.51-4.33vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.05+5.68vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego1.57-2.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.57-2.86vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.00-2.43vs Predicted
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18University of Puget Sound0.36-0.53vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-4.46vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University1.02-5.82vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-0.33-1.41vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-8.04vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.54-10.67vs Predicted
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24University of Washington0.63-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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6.43California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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14.88University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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8.91Stanford University2.190.1%1st Place
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11.99University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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9.01Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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15.22Western Washington University0.870.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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11.61California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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18.68University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
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11.63University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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14.57University of Washington1.000.0%1st Place
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17.47University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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14.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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14.18Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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19.59California State University Channel Islands-0.330.0%1st Place
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13.96University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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12.33University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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16.38University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Kaschak | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 14.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Larsen | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Kaitlyn Baab | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Brandon Wood | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Philip Gordon | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 20.9% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Caylin Cordray | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| David Eva | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.2% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Alexa Gaddis | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 36.4% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Kew | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Molly Utter | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.