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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+6.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.54+9.47vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+3.03vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.83+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon2.51+1.25vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.19+1.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57+3.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+4.39vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.02+3.82vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California3.16-6.19vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.50-0.64vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.87+1.49vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego1.60-2.79vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.95-9.17vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-2.16vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.63-1.66vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay1.69-7.15vs Predicted
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19University of Washington1.00-5.17vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine0.93-6.03vs Predicted
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21University of Puget Sound0.36-4.39vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-0.33-3.37vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis0.05-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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11.47University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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6.03California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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8.54Stanford University2.190.1%1st Place
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11.09University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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13.39University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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13.82Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Southern California3.160.2%1st Place
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11.36University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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14.49Western Washington University0.870.0%1st Place
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11.21University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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5.83University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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13.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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15.34University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
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10.85California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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13.83University of Washington1.000.0%1st Place
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13.97University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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16.61University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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18.63California State University Channel Islands-0.330.0%1st Place
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17.56University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallory Schluter | 7.7% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kew | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Baab | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aubrey Toole | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ian Spilman | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Stephen Lue | 15.4% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| John Olson | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Michael Hanson | 11.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Molly Utter | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 6.9% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Caylin Cordray | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| William Larsen | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| David Eva | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.8% |
| Alexa Gaddis | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 15.7% | 38.5% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.