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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+4.95vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.95+3.58vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.83+3.16vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California3.16+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.63+10.43vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57+1.00vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon2.51+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57+3.36vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.69+1.74vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07+3.44vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.19-2.66vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.87+2.55vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.00+0.81vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.54-2.28vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.02-1.92vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles1.50-5.51vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-4.54vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis0.05-1.42vs Predicted
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20University of Puget Sound0.36-3.66vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego1.60-9.77vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine0.93-7.97vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-0.33-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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6.16California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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15.43University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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11.36University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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10.74California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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13.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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8.34Stanford University2.190.1%1st Place
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14.55Western Washington University0.870.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Washington1.000.0%1st Place
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11.72University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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14.08Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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17.58University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
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16.34University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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11.23University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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18.69California State University Channel Islands-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Kaschak | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 14.2% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Utter | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubrey Toole | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Kaitlyn Baab | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Caylin Cordray | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Joshua Kew | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| William Edwards | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 20.7% |
| David Eva | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 11.1% |
| John Olson | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| William Larsen | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Alexa Gaddis | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.