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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina-0.41+3.65vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.05+2.04vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34+0.34vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.12-0.34vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-2.04vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.14-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee-1.96-0.12vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-1.52-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65University of South Carolina-0.418.3%1st Place
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4.04University of North Carolina-0.0512.8%1st Place
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3.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.3419.6%1st Place
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3.66Clemson University0.1216.1%1st Place
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2.96Georgia Institute of Technology0.4124.6%1st Place
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4.17North Carolina State University-0.1412.9%1st Place
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6.88University of Tennessee-1.961.9%1st Place
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6.3The Citadel-1.523.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 15.2% | 5.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Simpson | 19.6% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 16.1% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Roberto Martelli | 24.6% | 21.4% | 20.2% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| John Richards | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 10.3% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Blessington | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 22.7% | 52.6% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 29.1% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.