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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon2.51+6.69vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.95+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+3.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.50+8.36vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.83+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.60+5.79vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California3.16-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57+4.20vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.57-1.63vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.19-1.00vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07+3.78vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.00+2.65vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.71-1.53vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.63+2.07vs Predicted
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15University of Puget Sound0.36+2.72vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.54-3.84vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University0.87-2.52vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands0.08-0.30vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay1.69-8.81vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis0.05-2.40vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-7.94vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University1.02-8.19vs Predicted
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24Santa Clara University1.55-11.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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6.37California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
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11.79University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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5.04University of Southern California3.160.2%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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9.0Stanford University2.190.1%1st Place
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14.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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14.65University of Washington1.000.0%1st Place
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11.47University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
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17.72University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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12.16University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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15.48Western Washington University0.870.0%1st Place
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18.7California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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11.19California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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18.6University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
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14.06University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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14.81Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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12.2Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Gordon | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Stephen Lue | 15.9% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubrey Toole | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Mallory Schluter | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Baab | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Caylin Cordray | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Molly Utter | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% |
| David Eva | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 15.4% |
| Joshua Kew | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 24.4% |
| Hanna Miller | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 26.5% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.