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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.4%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon2.51+6.73vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.95+3.93vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.16+2.23vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.19+5.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+9.14vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.83+0.29vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.50+4.14vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.57-1.51vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.05+8.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-4.70vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07+2.71vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.63+3.34vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound0.36+3.65vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.02-0.66vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine1.71-4.50vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.54-4.77vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.57-5.79vs Predicted
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19University of Washington1.00-4.00vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands0.08-1.81vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay1.69-9.63vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego1.60-10.22vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University0.87-7.53vs Predicted
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24Santa Clara University1.55-11.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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9.04Stanford University2.190.1%1st Place
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14.14University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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6.29California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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18.69University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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14.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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16.34University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
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17.65University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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14.34Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.5University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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12.23University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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15.0University of Washington1.000.0%1st Place
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18.19California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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11.37California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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11.78University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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15.47Western Washington University0.870.0%1st Place
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12.22Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Gordon | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 13.2% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Baab | 6.1% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Mallory Schluter | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 26.5% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Molly Utter | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% |
| David Eva | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.8% |
| Debbi Kenote | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Kew | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Caylin Cordray | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Sierra Marangola | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 24.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| John Olson | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.