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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.95+4.80vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.50+9.85vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+3.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.54+7.70vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.57+2.18vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.83+0.12vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.19+1.52vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.00+6.16vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon2.51-1.62vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.63+5.55vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California3.16-6.14vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.02+2.09vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+0.52vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.08+2.91vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.57-4.14vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-3.29vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay1.69-6.93vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine1.71-8.19vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis0.05-2.28vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University0.87-6.18vs Predicted
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22Santa Clara University1.55-10.40vs Predicted
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23University of Puget Sound0.36-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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11.85University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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11.7University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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6.12California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
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8.52Stanford University2.190.1%1st Place
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14.16University of Washington1.000.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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15.55University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
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4.86University of Southern California3.160.2%1st Place
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14.09Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.52University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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17.91California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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13.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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11.07California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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10.81University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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17.72University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
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14.82Western Washington University0.870.0%1st Place
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11.6Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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16.59University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Hanson | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kew | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Mallory Schluter | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Baab | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Cordray | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Philip Gordon | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Utter | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 7.9% |
| Stephen Lue | 16.4% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 27.5% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Hanna Miller | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 17.3% | 24.4% |
| Sarah Hanavan | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| David Eva | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.