← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Andrew Simpson 18.6% 15.7% 14.9% 14.3% 12.2% 11.6% 7.4% 4.2% 0.9%
Ashton Loring 14.0% 16.0% 14.8% 12.6% 13.0% 11.8% 10.5% 5.4% 2.0%
Kathleen Hale 11.6% 11.3% 11.5% 12.2% 15.2% 13.7% 13.9% 8.6% 2.1%
Andrew Ettlemyer 8.2% 8.6% 9.0% 10.9% 11.8% 14.2% 18.0% 14.3% 5.0%
John Richards 10.0% 10.2% 11.2% 12.9% 14.2% 15.0% 15.0% 8.4% 3.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 13.2% 13.8% 13.9% 14.2% 13.6% 12.9% 10.7% 6.0% 1.7%
Roberto Martelli 20.0% 19.1% 17.9% 16.5% 10.3% 8.2% 5.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Damian Uzonwanne 2.5% 3.6% 4.2% 3.4% 5.7% 7.5% 10.1% 32.0% 30.9%
Matthew Blessington 1.8% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 5.1% 8.8% 18.8% 54.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.