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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.07+0.67vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.680.00vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.07-1.33vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.68-2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland0.68-3.00vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.10-3.30vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.47-3.36vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-1.47-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67Christopher Newport University1.070.5%1st Place
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2.0University of Maryland0.680.3%1st Place
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1.67Christopher Newport University1.070.5%1st Place
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2.0University of Maryland0.680.3%1st Place
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2.0University of Maryland0.680.3%1st Place
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2.7University of Delaware-0.100.1%1st Place
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3.64Virginia Tech-1.470.0%1st Place
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3.64Virginia Tech-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Ross | 50.8% | 34.0% | 13.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 32.5% | 38.8% | 25.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 50.8% | 34.0% | 13.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 32.5% | 38.8% | 25.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 32.5% | 38.8% | 25.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Whittington | 14.3% | 19.7% | 48.0% | 18.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Gallagher | 2.4% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 76.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Gallagher | 2.4% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 76.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.