← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of North Carolina-0.46+1.64vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+1.96vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University-1.41+1.26vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-0.48-1.15vs Predicted
-
5University of South Carolina-1.71-0.17vs Predicted
-
6Georgia Institute of Technology-1.90-0.74vs Predicted
-
7University of Tennessee-2.26-1.16vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel-2.70-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.64University of North Carolina-0.4629.8%1st Place
-
3.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.2113.0%1st Place
-
4.26Clemson University-1.4110.6%1st Place
-
2.85North Carolina State University-0.4826.2%1st Place
-
4.83University of South Carolina-1.717.4%1st Place
-
5.26Georgia Institute of Technology-1.905.7%1st Place
-
5.84University of Tennessee-2.263.9%1st Place
-
6.36The Citadel-2.703.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May Proctor | 29.8% | 23.9% | 19.4% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sam Woodley | 13.0% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Max Braun | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 26.2% | 22.5% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Gates | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 9.0% |
| James Keller | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 14.9% |
| Kate Pierce | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 24.1% | 25.1% |
| Edward Lucas Brady | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.