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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.28vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.83-0.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.31-0.09vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-1.35vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.74-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Stanford University3.1535.9%1st Place
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3.28University of Hawaii2.4119.9%1st Place
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4.22California Poly Maritime Academy1.9211.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Southern California0.904.7%1st Place
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4.3University of Washington1.839.2%1st Place
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4.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.7811.5%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Berkeley0.312.5%1st Place
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6.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.8%1st Place
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7.28Arizona State University0.742.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Thomas Sitzmann | 35.9% | 28.6% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Erik Anderson | 19.9% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Nicholas Mueller | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
Morgana Manti | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 9.6% |
Benjamin Stone | 9.2% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
Jonathan Seawards | 11.5% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
Wilton Lawton | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 18.1% | 22.6% | 27.2% |
Robert Bloomfield | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 22.6% | 21.2% |
Aidan Boylan | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 22.4% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.