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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+1.11vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19-1.40vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.39+0.01vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-1.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of Rhode Island0.8811.7%1st Place
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3.11University of Hawaii1.0513.9%1st Place
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1.6Stanford University2.1957.9%1st Place
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4.01University of Washington-1.397.0%1st Place
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5.27Arizona State University-0.393.0%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Berkeley-0.225.5%1st Place
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6.12University of California at San Diego-1.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 11.7% | 20.6% | 24.6% | 20.5% | 15.2% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.9% | 23.4% | 25.2% | 19.9% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Fisher | 57.9% | 28.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 7.0% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 22.1% | 22.7% | 13.4% | 4.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 33.1% | 23.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 23.2% | 23.5% | 11.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 19.0% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.