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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.83+0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.90+0.82vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-1.84vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-0.44vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74-0.72vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.31-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Stanford University3.1536.9%1st Place
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3.28University of Hawaii2.4119.1%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.7810.4%1st Place
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4.39University of Washington1.839.9%1st Place
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5.82University of Southern California0.904.7%1st Place
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4.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.9212.0%1st Place
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6.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.8%1st Place
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7.28Arizona State University0.741.9%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Berkeley0.312.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 36.9% | 26.5% | 18.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 19.1% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Stone | 9.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 10.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 22.1% | 21.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 22.4% | 37.6% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 24.0% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.