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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+2.00vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19-0.37vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.39+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.39-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.88-2.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Hawaii1.0515.1%1st Place
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1.63Stanford University2.1957.3%1st Place
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5.29Arizona State University-0.392.4%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Berkeley-0.224.8%1st Place
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4.08University of Washington-1.397.3%1st Place
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3.32University of Rhode Island0.8811.8%1st Place
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6.09University of California at San Diego-1.411.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 15.1% | 25.2% | 25.4% | 18.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 57.3% | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.4% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 31.9% | 23.8% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 24.0% | 23.3% | 9.9% |
| Emily Smith | 7.3% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 23.8% | 15.4% | 5.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.8% | 19.9% | 24.3% | 21.7% | 14.5% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 18.8% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.