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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.20vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90+1.78vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.83-0.69vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-1.83vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-0.39vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74-0.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.31-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Stanford University3.1537.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Hawaii2.4118.1%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.7812.3%1st Place
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5.78University of Southern California0.903.9%1st Place
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4.31University of Washington1.8310.5%1st Place
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4.17California Poly Maritime Academy1.9211.6%1st Place
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6.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.4%1st Place
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7.31Arizona State University0.742.1%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Berkeley0.312.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 37.1% | 25.4% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 18.1% | 19.6% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 8.3% |
| Benjamin Stone | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 11.6% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 22.0% | 21.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 22.1% | 39.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 24.5% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.