Race 1A

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Clemence 29.0% 25.5% 16.8% 14.3% 7.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Luisi 2.5% 3.0% 3.1% 6.5% 6.7% 9.2% 12.4% 14.8% 18.2% 14.9% 7.5% 1.2%
Gerard Tonachel 17.3% 16.0% 16.1% 14.5% 14.7% 11.3% 5.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Bedinger 11.3% 13.9% 16.1% 15.5% 13.4% 12.3% 8.5% 5.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 5.7% 8.0% 8.5% 11.7% 10.7% 13.9% 15.9% 11.0% 8.6% 4.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Joan Boyle 6.5% 6.7% 9.3% 8.5% 12.1% 13.1% 14.5% 14.3% 9.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Autumn Hoover 2.2% 2.2% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 5.6% 8.8% 13.7% 16.2% 18.5% 16.5% 5.7%
Victoria Miller 6.7% 6.3% 8.0% 7.2% 11.7% 11.9% 14.8% 13.9% 11.5% 6.1% 1.2% 0.7%
Tim Gorzelnik 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 2.8% 3.2% 4.7% 9.9% 13.6% 20.6% 26.8% 14.3%
Charles Herlihy 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2.2% 2.4% 4.8% 7.0% 12.9% 19.5% 28.0% 16.8%
Tory Stires 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.2% 1.1% 1.2% 2.4% 4.7% 9.4% 17.1% 61.2%
Connor Timmins 16.3% 15.7% 16.0% 13.8% 13.9% 11.2% 7.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.