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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.22+2.62vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88+0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.39-0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.05-1.98vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Stanford University2.1958.4%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Berkeley-0.225.0%1st Place
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3.36University of Rhode Island0.8811.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Washington-1.397.8%1st Place
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3.02University of Hawaii1.0514.0%1st Place
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5.25Arizona State University-0.392.5%1st Place
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6.17University of California at San Diego-1.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 58.4% | 28.0% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 22.9% | 25.2% | 10.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.2% | 19.8% | 23.4% | 22.4% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Emily Smith | 7.8% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 22.4% | 21.4% | 14.4% | 4.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 14.0% | 25.2% | 25.9% | 20.0% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 19.4% | 30.9% | 23.0% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.