Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Erik Anderson 19.5% 18.5% 18.1% 17.2% 12.4% 8.9% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Thomas Sitzmann 35.6% 26.6% 18.6% 9.6% 5.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Aidan Boylan 1.8% 3.0% 3.4% 4.3% 5.3% 8.1% 14.3% 21.8% 38.1%
Morgana Manti 4.7% 6.5% 7.5% 8.9% 11.3% 16.9% 19.9% 16.0% 8.5%
Benjamin Stone 10.6% 13.8% 14.6% 15.1% 16.2% 12.3% 10.7% 5.8% 1.1%
Jonathan Seawards 12.7% 12.0% 13.5% 16.4% 16.6% 13.9% 9.8% 3.9% 1.4%
Nicholas Mueller 9.8% 13.6% 15.3% 17.4% 15.9% 14.0% 8.6% 4.1% 1.4%
Robert Bloomfield 3.0% 3.4% 4.4% 6.6% 8.3% 13.3% 16.2% 22.5% 22.2%
Wilton Lawton 2.4% 2.7% 4.5% 4.6% 8.0% 10.3% 15.3% 24.9% 27.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.