Race 3A

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Gerard Tonachel 17.7% 22.9% 18.6% 15.4% 13.4% 6.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 8.7% 7.7% 10.8% 15.2% 15.0% 15.4% 12.1% 9.1% 4.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Samuel Bedinger 14.5% 15.4% 16.7% 17.2% 16.0% 9.5% 6.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Clemence 35.0% 25.4% 18.2% 10.4% 6.4% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Luisi 3.8% 4.1% 5.0% 7.2% 9.6% 12.1% 15.0% 16.9% 15.8% 8.5% 2.0%
Autumn Hoover 2.1% 2.0% 3.9% 4.5% 5.6% 8.1% 13.5% 18.7% 19.1% 16.0% 6.5%
Charles Herlihy 1.0% 2.5% 2.6% 1.8% 2.8% 4.4% 8.0% 13.0% 19.0% 28.9% 16.0%
Tim Gorzelnik 1.6% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 3.9% 5.5% 9.0% 13.7% 22.2% 23.1% 16.0%
Tory Stires 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 1.1% 1.1% 2.5% 2.6% 4.5% 9.0% 18.7% 58.8%
Joan Boyle 8.5% 9.8% 11.2% 12.3% 13.1% 15.4% 13.5% 10.3% 4.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Victoria Miller 6.6% 8.1% 10.9% 12.9% 13.1% 16.7% 15.5% 9.0% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.