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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.61vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.22+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05-0.97vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.39-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.41+0.11vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.39-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61Stanford University2.1959.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Rhode Island0.8810.6%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Berkeley-0.225.5%1st Place
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3.03University of Hawaii1.0514.5%1st Place
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4.1University of Washington-1.395.6%1st Place
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6.11University of California at San Diego-1.411.1%1st Place
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5.18Arizona State University-0.393.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 59.2% | 26.2% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.6% | 20.8% | 23.4% | 21.9% | 14.6% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 23.5% | 23.4% | 11.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 14.5% | 24.9% | 25.7% | 19.1% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Emily Smith | 5.6% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 22.1% | 22.3% | 15.3% | 5.3% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 58.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 30.9% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.