Race 4A

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Clemence 35.3% 27.0% 17.3% 11.5% 5.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gerard Tonachel 20.0% 22.1% 19.2% 15.4% 11.8% 6.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 7.2% 8.4% 11.5% 12.5% 14.1% 16.0% 15.1% 9.4% 4.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Samuel Bedinger 14.1% 16.0% 17.2% 17.1% 14.7% 10.9% 6.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Paul Luisi 3.8% 4.6% 5.9% 6.8% 9.8% 11.3% 15.7% 18.4% 14.1% 7.5% 2.1%
Victoria Miller 6.1% 7.3% 9.4% 12.5% 14.1% 16.0% 15.1% 9.5% 7.7% 1.8% 0.5%
Joan Boyle 8.3% 9.5% 10.6% 14.3% 15.1% 14.7% 12.3% 8.8% 4.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Autumn Hoover 2.3% 2.1% 3.6% 4.3% 6.6% 10.4% 12.9% 17.5% 19.8% 15.7% 4.8%
Tim Gorzelnik 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 2.1% 3.7% 3.9% 7.3% 13.7% 20.2% 27.0% 16.8%
Charles Herlihy 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 5.3% 7.6% 13.4% 18.5% 26.3% 18.4%
Tory Stires 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 2.7% 3.5% 5.5% 8.7% 19.1% 57.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.