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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.31+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.90+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.83-1.71vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.74+0.32vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-1.33vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Stanford University3.1536.2%1st Place
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3.33University of Hawaii2.4118.3%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.7811.7%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Berkeley0.312.9%1st Place
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5.7University of Southern California0.905.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Washington1.8311.1%1st Place
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7.32Arizona State University0.741.8%1st Place
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6.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.9%1st Place
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4.27California Poly Maritime Academy1.9210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Thomas Sitzmann | 36.2% | 26.5% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Erik Anderson | 18.3% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Jonathan Seawards | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
Wilton Lawton | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 24.8% | 26.9% |
Morgana Manti | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 8.9% |
Benjamin Stone | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
Aidan Boylan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 21.6% | 38.4% |
Robert Bloomfield | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 19.2% | 22.6% | 22.1% |
Nicholas Mueller | 10.1% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.