Race 5A

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Gerard Tonachel 15.9% 16.8% 17.4% 17.4% 13.1% 10.2% 6.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 6.5% 7.4% 9.6% 11.3% 12.4% 14.8% 16.2% 13.2% 6.7% 1.7% 0.2%
Nicholas Clemence 28.3% 25.7% 18.1% 12.8% 7.9% 4.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Joan Boyle 5.3% 7.0% 8.0% 9.6% 12.0% 16.1% 16.0% 16.0% 7.4% 2.3% 0.3%
Samuel Bedinger 14.3% 13.6% 14.9% 13.8% 16.5% 9.4% 10.3% 4.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Victoria Miller 4.8% 7.2% 7.4% 9.6% 11.4% 14.7% 16.4% 14.9% 9.4% 3.5% 0.7%
Connor Timmins 19.0% 17.5% 16.4% 14.7% 13.3% 9.5% 5.3% 2.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Paul Luisi 3.5% 2.2% 4.3% 6.3% 8.3% 10.5% 15.0% 20.3% 17.2% 10.8% 1.6%
Tim Gorzelnik 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 2.3% 4.4% 4.1% 10.2% 23.6% 31.1% 18.1%
Charles Herlihy 0.8% 0.8% 1.6% 2.5% 1.8% 4.0% 6.4% 10.2% 21.8% 30.3% 19.8%
Tory Stires 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.1% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 5.0% 9.5% 19.7% 59.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.