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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.57vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-1.39+2.02vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88+0.38vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.41+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.05-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57Stanford University2.1960.4%1st Place
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4.02University of Washington-1.396.5%1st Place
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3.38University of Rhode Island0.8810.5%1st Place
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5.26Arizona State University-0.392.3%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Berkeley-0.225.1%1st Place
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6.11University of California at San Diego-1.411.6%1st Place
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3.08University of Hawaii1.0513.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 60.4% | 27.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 6.5% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 20.2% | 21.9% | 15.5% | 4.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.5% | 19.7% | 24.5% | 22.1% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 30.9% | 24.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 25.1% | 21.4% | 10.9% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 19.9% | 58.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.8% | 24.8% | 24.6% | 19.9% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.