Race 6A

wac-open-central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Clemence 30.5% 23.4% 18.3% 14.0% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 7.1% 6.9% 9.2% 10.6% 12.7% 15.8% 17.4% 11.4% 6.8% 1.9% 0.2%
Gerard Tonachel 16.1% 17.6% 15.0% 15.9% 14.5% 10.7% 6.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Timmins 14.3% 16.9% 15.9% 16.1% 14.6% 10.1% 6.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Paul Luisi 3.4% 3.4% 4.6% 4.5% 7.1% 10.9% 13.6% 20.3% 19.4% 10.4% 2.4%
Samuel Bedinger 12.9% 14.1% 15.0% 16.4% 13.5% 10.2% 8.7% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Victoria Miller 6.4% 8.0% 8.6% 8.2% 11.0% 14.5% 18.1% 13.3% 9.0% 2.6% 0.3%
Joan Boyle 6.7% 6.9% 10.1% 10.0% 14.1% 13.6% 15.3% 13.6% 6.9% 2.4% 0.4%
Tim Gorzelnik 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 2.3% 3.8% 4.9% 10.9% 22.6% 32.0% 17.7%
Charles Herlihy 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 2.1% 4.4% 4.2% 13.2% 20.4% 30.3% 19.6%
Tory Stires 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 1.8% 2.3% 3.8% 10.7% 19.7% 59.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.