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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.83+2.22vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15-0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90+1.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-0.76vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.74+1.25vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-2.80vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-1.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.31-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Hawaii2.4118.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Washington1.8311.2%1st Place
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2.33Stanford University3.1536.6%1st Place
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5.88University of Southern California0.903.6%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Barbara1.7811.0%1st Place
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7.25Arizona State University0.741.8%1st Place
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4.2California Poly Maritime Academy1.9212.0%1st Place
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6.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.0%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Berkeley0.312.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Erik Anderson | 18.1% | 20.1% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Benjamin Stone | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
Thomas Sitzmann | 36.6% | 25.8% | 18.9% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Morgana Manti | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 9.6% |
Jonathan Seawards | 11.0% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
Aidan Boylan | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 22.4% | 36.2% |
Nicholas Mueller | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
Robert Bloomfield | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 21.6% | 22.8% |
Wilton Lawton | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 23.9% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.